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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0510

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to [email protected] on Thu Apr 23 23:51:09 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 232351
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 232350=20
    KSZ000-OKZ000-240215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0510
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0650 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

    Areas affected...southeast Kansas into northern Oklahoma

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 136...

    Valid 232350Z - 240215Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 136 continues.

    SUMMARY...Supercells producing very large hail and a few tornadoes
    is most probable over northern Oklahoma into southeast Kansas next
    few hours.

    DISCUSSION...Storms along the dryline have consolidated into a
    substantial supercell near the OK/KS border recently, within the
    instability axis. Just north of Wichita, the cold front is pushing
    south and invigorating convection there as well, although the mode
    has become linear. Meanwhile, visible satellite shows possible new
    developing extending even farther southwest along the dryline into
    OK, west of Enid.

    The greatest severe risk including tornadoes and large hail will
    likely peak from now through the next couple hours while the
    boundary layer is warmest. Though the low-level jet will increase
    this evening, the cooling surface temperatures and surging cold
    front will eventually result in linear storm mode, with damaging
    gusts possible. Until then, the cells ahead of the cold front will
    continue to pose a periodic tornado and hail risk.

    ..Jewell.. 04/23/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6Z57R4kmghsMTOBaJVAJjPZ_hG1Nfh4vdJHRx0tFS7G3M-NqGpqWQB_7NMyW_7rwtprnXwSMi= 4kFP9CjqdEvzJ24j7U$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

    LAT...LON 37069760 37589746 37889735 38169718 38399663 38459587
    38299571 37859579 37179604 36769620 36519677 36349763
    36189789 36199809 36249820 36689800 37069760=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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