ACUS11 KWNS 250753
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250752=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-250915-

Mesoscale Discussion 0526
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0252 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Areas affected...Central and southern Mississippi and a small part
of southeast Louisiana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 250752Z - 250915Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...An organized storm cluster will pose a threat for strong
outflow gusts and some wind damage, and there is some potential for
a severe thunderstorm watch.

DISCUSSION...A storm cluster in west central MS has developed some
bowing characteristics and a comma head structure over the past
60-90 minutes while moving southeastward at 35 kt. The storms are
moving along the buoyancy gradient, slightly into rain-cooled air
from other convection earlier tonight. There is enough line-normal
shear to help maintain upright convection along the gust front, and
buoyancy is sufficient for the storms to persist for the next
several hours. The magnitude of the wind-damage threat is in
question given recent radar velocities in the 35-50 kt range, storm
motion of about 35 kt, and a measured 37 kt outflow gust. All told,
there are mixed signals regarding the need for a watch, but this
area will continue to be monitored.

..Thompson/Gleason.. 04/25/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8Due1_lT9iqWY6SEIjN4QNQ3QdX2CsFk_icZNljuPyvBLJYDNwgO799gCDeunnre1yMT3eztz= aziAOlI_FCeIcxJYTI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON 30828905 30679005 30939082 31149097 31389099 31499047
31798992 32338962 32258915 31958870 31518859 30828905=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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