• TWO - W+S Pacific Ocean

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 29 16:02:16 2026
    ABPW10 PGTW 291300
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
    PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/291300Z-300600ZAUG2026//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290751ZAUG2026//
    REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290752ZAUG2026//
    NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
    RMKS/

    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 29AUG26 0600Z, TYPHOON 20W (BANG-LANG) WAS LOCATED NEAR
    23.9N 168.2E, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, AND
    HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO
    90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 290900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (2) AT 29AUG26 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 21W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR
    28.2N 165.7E, APPROXIMATELY 536 NM NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND, AND HAD
    TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
    SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50
    KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 290900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
    (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 20.2N
    134.7E, APPROXIMATELY 706 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED
    INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
    CIRCULATION CENTER OBSCURED BY PERSISTENT CONVECTION. RECENT
    SCATTEROMETER DATA REVEALS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION IN THE LOWER
    LEVELS ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK SURROUNDING WINDS. THE ENVIRONMENTAL
    ANALYSIS OF THE AREA INDICATES CONDUCIVE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT
    WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), WARM (29-30 C) SEA
    SURFACE TEMPERATURES, PLENTIFUL MOISTURE, AND A STRONG EQUATORWARD
    OUTFLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS
    AGREE ON A GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF 94W AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITS WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO
    18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
    THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
    WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
    (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (SD 01C) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
    38.5N 178.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 176.4E, APPROXIMATELY 683 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ATOLL. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS
    A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL
    AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
    (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD BUT DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DEVOID
    OF CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE
    AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VWS (50 KTS), DRY SURROUNDING AIR, AND
    COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (23-25 C). ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC
    MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT FOR A GRADUAL DECAY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
    FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO
    HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 32 TO 38
    KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
    THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
    (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.

    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED MEDIUM AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
    NNNN


    --- ScorpioWeb v0.38a (Linux/x86_64)
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 30 14:31:32 2026
    ABPW10 PGTW 300730
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
    PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/300730Z-310600ZAUG2026//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300751ZAUG2026//
    REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300752ZAUG2026//
    REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300721ZAUG2026//
    NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL
    CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//

    RMKS/
    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 30AUG26 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 20W (BANG-LANG) WAS LOCATED
    NEAR 33.3N 167.3E, APPROXIMATELY 841 NM NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND, AND HAD
    TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
    SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55
    KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 300900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (2) AT 30AUG26 0600Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED
    NEAR 30.8N 165.3E, APPROXIMATELY 694 NM NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND, AND HAD
    TRACKED EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
    SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40
    KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 300900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
    (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
    20.3N 133.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 133.3E, APPROXIMATELY 785 NM
    NORTHWEST OF GUAM. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A MONSOON
    DEPRESSION, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS A LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION,
    GREATER THAN 600NM DIAMETER, WITH ELEVATED WINDS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY AND A WEAK CORE OF LIGHT WINDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
    SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
    OBSCURED BY PERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN
    EXTENT OF THE SYSTEM. A 292347Z METOP-B BULLSEYE ASCAT REVEALED WEAK
    WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF 94W, SURROUNDED BY ELEVATED WINDS UP TO 25
    KTS. THE ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS OF THE AREA INDICATES CONDUCIVE
    CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
    (VWS), WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, PLENTIFUL MOISTURE,
    AND A STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS. ONLY A SLIGHT
    TIGHTENING OF THE WIND FIELD IS NEEDED TO DESIGNATE THE SYSTEM AS A
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE MAJORITY OF GLOBAL AND ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
    INDICATE THAT 94W WILL HAVE A SHORT WINDOW TO CONSOLIDATE, AFTER WHICH
    TIME, THE CLOSED CIRCULATION WILL OPEN UP. 94W CURRENTLY LIES ALONG A
    TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM TAIWAN TO THE MARIANA ISLANDS. OVER THE NEXT
    FEW DAYS, DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL, NORTHWEST-TRACKING CIRCULATIONS
    ALONG THIS TROUGH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THAT MAY LEAD TO MORE DIRECT
    IMPACTS TO THE RYUKYU ISLANDS. WHILE THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY
    ENSEMBLE SYSTEMS, THE SPECIFIC IMPACTS WILL BE PREDICATED ON THE
    EVOLUTION OF THESE SUBSEQUENT CIRCULATIONS, WHICH HAVE NOT YET FORMED. THEREFORE, SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY EXISTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
    POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT RELATES TO THE REGION OF THE
    EAST CHINA SEA. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER
    CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO
    DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
    ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
    TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF
    C (WTPN21 PGTW 300730) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO
    HIGH.//
    NNNN


    --- ScorpioWeb v0.38a (Linux/x86_64)
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 31 15:03:34 2026
    ABPW10 PGTW 310730
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
    PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/310730ZAUG2026-010600ZSEP2026//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301351ZAUG2026//
    REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301952ZAUG2026//
    REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310721ZAUG2026//
    NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNINGS. REF C IS A
    TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//

    RMKS/
    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 30AUG26 1200Z, TROPICAL STORM 20W (BANG-LANG) WAS LOCATED
    NEAR 34.1N 165.9E, APPROXIMATELY 889 NM NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND, AND HAD
    TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
    SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45
    KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 301500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
    SYSTEM.
    (2) AT 30AUG26 1800Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED
    NEAR 31.7N 166.8E, APPROXIMATELY 744 NM NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND, AND HAD
    TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
    SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40
    KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 302100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
    SYSTEM.
    (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
    (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
    NEAR 20.6N 133.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 132.7E, APPROXIMATELY 268
    NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MINAMI DAITO JIMA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY
    CLASSIFIED AS A MONSOON DEPRESSION, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS A LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, GREATER THAN 600NM DIAMETER, WITH ELEVATED WINDS
    OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY AND A WEAK CORE OF LIGHT WINDS.
    ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED,
    BROAD AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH A LARGE
    WIND FIELD AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG BOTH ENDS OF THE
    CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH, WHICH
    EXTENDS FROM TAIWAN TO THE MARIANA ISLANDS. OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS,
    THE CENTER OF THE LLCC WILL BE PRONE TO SHIFTING ALONG THIS TROUGH
    AXIS, EITHER TOWARD THE WEST AND CLOSER TO OKINAWA OR EAST AND FURTHER
    AWAY. THE ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS OF THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE
    CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
    (VWS), WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND STRONG EQUATORWARD
    OUTFLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS, OFFSET BY A NARROW BAND OF DRY AIR
    SEPARATING THE MOIST WESTERLY FLOW FROM THE CIRCULATION. THE RADIUS OF
    MAXIMUM WINDS IS CURRENTLY OVER 100 NM. HOWEVER, ONLY A SLIGHT
    TIGHTENING OF THE WIND FIELD IS NEEDED TO DESIGNATE THE SYSTEM AS A
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION. WHILE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS
    AGREE ON GRADUAL CONSOLIDATION AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS GENERALLY QUASI- STATIONARY, THE PRECISE FORMATION LOCATION ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS
    REMAINS LESS CERTAIN. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET
    WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL
    WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
    TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF C
    (WTPN21 PGTW 310730) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
    23.0N 117.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 117.8E, APPROXIMATELY 247 NM
    SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTI-SPECTRAL
    SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION
    OBSCURED BY DEEP CONVECTION. A 310130Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS REVEALS
    ELEVATED WINDS ALONG THE NORTH-NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF A BROAD LOW-
    LEVEL CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS OF THE AREA IS FAVORABLE
    WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, MODERATE RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND ROBUST AMOUNTS OF
    MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS
    AGREE ON STEADY DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM, WITH THE EC ENSEMBLE BEING
    THE MOST AGGRESSIVE, PORTRAYING THE INTENSIFICATION TIMELINE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
    LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
    REMAINS MEDIUM.
    (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 17W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
    21.0N 110.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 110.2E, APPROXIMATELY 07 NM
    NORTHWEST OF HAIKOU, HAINAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTI-SPECTRAL
    SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS THAT THE REMNANTS OF 17W HAVE EMERGED
    OVER WATER AS A BROAD MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL
    ANALYSIS REVEALS 17W SITS IN A POCKET OF LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS)
    VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC
    MODELS INDICATE THAT 17W HAS A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR REDEVELOPMENT
    WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. 17W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD
    ALONG THE CHINESE COAST, WHERE IT MAY BRIEFLY REDEVELOP INTO A
    TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE WASHING OUT INTO THE STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY
    FLOW. ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE ALSO INDICATIVE OF POTENTIAL REDEVELOPMENT
    AND A GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
    ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
    ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
    (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED UPDATED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
    ALERT INFORMATION TO PARA. 1.B.(1).//
    NNNN


    --- ScorpioWeb v0.38a (Linux/x86_64)
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 1 15:25:46 2026
    ABPW10 PGTW 010900
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
    PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/010900Z-020600ZSEP2026//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751ZSEP2026//
    REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010752ZSEP2026//
    NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//

    RMKS/
    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 01SEP26 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 17W (SAUDEL) WAS LOCATED
    NEAR 20.0N 114.4E, APPROXIMATELY 138 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, AND HAD
    TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
    SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS.
    SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 010900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (2) AT 01SEP26 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 22W (KROVANH) WAS LOCATED
    NEAR 22.5N 131.5E. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT
    35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 010900) FOR
    FURTHER DETAILS.
    (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
    (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
    NEAR 22.5N 131.5E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
    SEE PARA. 1.B.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 17W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
    NEAR 20.0N 114.3E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
    SEE PARA. 1.B.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: AREA (REMNANTS 17W) IN PARA. 1.B.(2) HAS REGENERATED AND IS NOW IN WARNING STATUS. ADDITIONALLY, UPGRADED AREA IN
    PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.//
    NNNN


    --- ScorpioWeb v0.38a (Linux/x86_64)
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Thu Sep 3 14:55:36 2026
    ABPW10 PGTW 031230
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
    PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031230Z-040600ZSEP2026//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030152ZSEP2026//
    REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030751ZSEP2026//
    NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL
    CYCLONE WARNING.//

    RMKS/
    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 03SEP26 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 17W (SAUDEL) FINAL WAS
    LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 117.4E, APPROXIMATELY 198 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONG
    KONG, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
    HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS
    GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 030300) FOR THE FINAL
    WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
    (2) AT 03SEP26 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 22W (KROVANH) WAS LOCATED
    NEAR 27.0N 129.0E, APPROXIMATELY 71 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB,
    AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO
    50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
    (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
    15.3N 140.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 140.3E, APPROXIMATELY 293 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
    (EIR) REVEALS A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
    OBSCURED BY MID- AND HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED
    FOR SEVERAL HOURS IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT ASSOCIATED WITH 97W,
    REFLECTING AN IMPROVED CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. A 030005Z METOP-B ASCAT
    PASS SHOWS A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH 20 KT WINDS ALONG THE
    WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MORE RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA
    INDICATE THAT THE LLCC IS ELONGATED, AND ELEVATED WINDS NOW SPAN TWO-
    THIRDS OF THE WAY AROUND THE LLCC. OVERALL ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
    ARE ASSESSED AS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH MODERATE (20-25 KTS)
    VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, VERY WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES,
    IMPROVING EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND A ROBUST AMOUNT OF
    MOISTURE IN THE AREA. GLOBAL MODELS ARE RELATIVELY CONSERVATIVE WITH DEVELOPMENT ON 97W, WITH DETERMINISTIC MODELS MAINTAINING A BROAD
    CIRCULATION THAT SLIGHTLY CONSOLIDATES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE
    TRANSITING NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
    ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
    TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
    (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
    MEDIUM.//
    NNNN


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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Fri Sep 4 15:12:08 2026
    ABPW10 PGTW 040630
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
    PACIFIC OCEANS/040630Z-050630ZSEP2026//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZSEP2026//
    REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040621ZSEP2026//
    NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//

    RMKS/
    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 04SEP26 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 22W (KROVANH) WAS LOCATED
    NEAR 29.5N 128.0E, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTH OF KADENA AB, AND HAD
    TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO
    50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
    (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
    NEAR 17.6N 138.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 138.3E, APPROXIMATELY 370
    NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
    IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
    PARTIALLY OBSCURED BY MID- AND HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERIES, WITH
    WEAKER BURSTS NEAR THE CENTER, REFLECTING AN IMPROVED CONVECTIVE
    SIGNATURE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. DRIER AIR IS WEDGED ALONG THE
    NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY, LIMITING CONVECTION IN THAT AREA. A 040007Z
    METOP-C ASCAT PASS REVEALED A COMPACT CIRCULATION WITH ELEVATED WINDS
    NEAR THE CORE, INDICATING THAT THE SYSTEM IS ON THE VERGE OF BECOMING
    A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. OVERALL ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ASSESSED
    AS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL
    WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND A ROBUST AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN THE AREA.
    GLOBAL MODELS ARE RELATIVELY CONSERVATIVE WITH DEVELOPMENT ON 97W,
    WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF DETERMINISTIC MODELS DEPICTING LIMITED
    ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, BEFORE BROADENING
    OUT THE LLCC THEREAFTER. MULTIPLE ENSEMBLE SYSTEMS AND THESE
    DYNAMICAL MODELS AGREE ON 97W LARGELY HAVING A BROAD WIND FIELD WHILE ACCELERATING NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
    ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
    TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
    SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
    HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 040630) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
    HIGH.//
    NNNN


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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Sat Sep 5 14:56:18 2026
    ABPW10 PGTW 050600
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
    PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZSEP2026//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZSEP2026//
    REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050152ZSEP2026//
    NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//

    RMKS/
    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 05SEP26 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 22W (KROVANH) WAS LOCATED
    NEAR 27.8N 126.7E, APPROXIMATELY 98 NM NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, AND HAD
    TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS.
    SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (2) AT 05SEP26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (TWENTYTHREE) WAS
    LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 136.3E, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF IWO
    TO, AND HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
    HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS
    GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
    NNNN



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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 15:03:18 2026
    ABPW10 PGTW 061200
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
    PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061200Z-070600ZSEP2026//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060751ZSEP2026//
    AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//

    RMKS/
    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 06SEP26 0600Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (KROVANH) WAS
    LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 130.2E, APPROXIMATELY 143 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA
    AB, AND HAD TRACKED EASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
    (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 23W INFORMATION DUE TO FINAL
    WARNING EXPIRATION.//
    NNNN


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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 8 15:02:30 2026
    ABPW10 PGTW 080600
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
    PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZSEP2026//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080151ZSEP2026//
    AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
    RMKS/

    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 08SEP26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (KROVANH) WAS
    LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 132.6E, APPROXIMATELY 224 NM SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO,
    JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
    SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS
    GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 080300) FOR FURTHER
    DETAILS.
    (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
    NNNN


    --- ScorpioWeb v0.38a (Linux/x86_64)
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Wed Sep 9 18:50:38 2026
    ABPW10 PGTW 090900
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
    PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/090900Z-100600ZSEP2026//
    REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090751ZSEP2026//
    AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//

    RMKS/
    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 09SEP26 0600Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (KROVANH) WAS
    LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 135.9E, APPROXIMATELY 187 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
    ATSUGI, JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE
    PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25
    KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 090900) FOR THE
    FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
    (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

    3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA.1.A.(1) WITH 22W FINAL
    WARNING INFORMATION.//
    NNNN


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