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  • ADVISORY: Hurricane Imelda Intermediate Advisory Number 19a

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Wed Oct 1 11:55:43 2025
    557
    WTNT34 KNHC 011155
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Imelda Intermediate Advisory Number 19A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025
    800 AM EDT Wed Oct 01 2025

    ...IMELDA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, DAMAGING WAVES,
    AND FLASH FLOODING TO BERMUDA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...
    ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING IMELDA...


    SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...30.7N 71.3W
    ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
    * Bermuda

    A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
    somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
    and property should be rushed to completion.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Imelda was located
    near latitude 30.7 North, longitude 71.3 West. Imelda is moving
    toward the east-northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h). A much faster
    east-northeast to northeast motion is expected over the next couple
    of days. On the forecast track, the core of the hurricane will be
    near Bermuda this afternoon or evening and move away from the island
    by Thursday afternoon.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Imelda is expected to be stronger, near category 2 strength,
    when it passes close to Bermuda late today. Imelda is then expected
    to become an extratropical low in a couple of days, with gradual
    weakening thereafter.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
    the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230
    miles (370 km).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Hurricane Imelda can be found in the Tropical
    Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header
    WTNT44 KNHC.

    WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected over Bermuda tonight,
    with tropical storm conditions likely by this afternoon.

    RAINFALL: Across Bermuda, 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) of rainfall
    are expected from later today into Thursday, which could lead to
    flash flooding.

    STORM SURGE: In Bermuda, a dangerous storm surge is expected to
    produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds. The surge will
    be accompanied by large and damaging waves.

    SURF: Swells generated by Imelda and Humberto are affecting the
    Bahamas, Bermuda, and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are
    likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
    Please consult products from your local weather office.

    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart


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