149
WTNT24 KNHC 011452
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
1500 UTC WED OCT 01 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 70.4W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 40SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 330SE 330SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 70.4W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 71.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 31.9N 66.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...220NE 210SE 140SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 32.6N 61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...260NE 220SE 170SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.8N 56.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 180SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.8N 52.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 90SW 110NW.
34 KT...350NE 220SE 180SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 38.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 80SE 90SW 110NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 200SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 40.7N 48.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...270NE 220SE 200SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 45.9N 40.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 210SW 190NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 50.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 70.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART



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