493
WTNT24 KNHC 012044
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
2100 UTC WED OCT 01 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 67.9W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 30SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 220SE 100SW 170NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 270SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 67.9W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 69.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.3N 64.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 90SW 70NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 120SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 33.2N 58.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 90SW 70NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 180SW 230NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.8N 53.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT...110NE 80SE 90SW 80NW.
34 KT...290NE 210SE 180SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.2N 51.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT...120NE 70SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...320NE 240SE 200SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 39.5N 49.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...280NE 230SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 42.4N 46.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 200SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 47.5N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 170NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 49.5N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N 67.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 02/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART



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