• ADVISORY: Hurricane Imelda Advisory Number 22

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Thu Oct 2 02:50:25 2025
    346
    WTNT34 KNHC 020250
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Imelda Advisory Number 22
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025
    1100 PM AST Wed Oct 01 2025

    ...IMELDA'S CORE NOW MOVING OVER BERMUDA WHERE HURRICANE-FORCE
    WINDS, DAMAGING WAVES, AND FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED INTO THE
    MORNING...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...32.1N 65.0W
    ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
    * Bermuda

    A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
    somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
    and property should be rushed to completion.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Imelda was
    located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 65.0 West. Imelda is
    moving rapidly toward the east-northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h) and
    this general motion is expected to continue through Thursday night.
    A northeastward motion is then forecast on Friday and Saturday. On
    the forecast track, the core of Imelda will move across Bermuda
    over the next few hours overnight, before moving away from the
    island during the day.

    Maximum sustained winds remain near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Imelda is expected to become an extratropical low on
    Thursday, with gradual weakening forecast thereafter.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles
    (405 km). Recently, a weather station located in Sam Hall's Bay
    reported a sustained wind of 57 mph (92 km/h) with a gust to 78 mph
    (126 km/h).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). In
    the past hour, An elevated observing site at the National Museum of
    Bermuda recently reported a minimum pressure of 976 mb (28.82
    inches). The L.F. Wade International Airport on Bermuda recently
    reported a minimum pressure of 982 mb (29.00 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Hurricane Imelda can be found in the Tropical
    Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header
    WTNT44 KNHC.

    WIND: Hurricane conditions are ongoing over Bermuda and expected to
    continue through early Thursday. Significant hurricane-force wind
    gusts are likely across Bermuda even after the center passes.

    RAINFALL: Across Bermuda, 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) of rainfall
    is expected from tonight into Thursday, which could lead to flash
    flooding.

    STORM SURGE: In Bermuda, a dangerous storm surge is expected to
    produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds. The surge will
    be accompanied by large and damaging waves.

    SURF: Swells generated by Imelda are affecting the Bahamas, Bermuda,
    and much of the U.S. East Coast. Swells from Imelda will spread
    toward the Greater Antilles and northern Leeward Islands on Friday
    and continue through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.

    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
    Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin


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