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  • FORECAST: Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast/advisory Number 6

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Wed Oct 8 20:32:01 2025
    759
    WTNT25 KNHC 082031
    TCMAT5

    TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
    2100 UTC WED OCT 08 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 54.7W AT 08/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
    50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT.......130NE 150SE 0SW 70NW.
    4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 30SW 60NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 54.7W AT 08/2100Z
    AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 53.8W

    FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.9N 57.1W
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...130NE 140SE 20SW 70NW.

    FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.4N 59.7W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
    34 KT...120NE 140SE 30SW 70NW.

    FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.4N 61.6W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
    34 KT...120NE 140SE 30SW 70NW.

    FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.7N 62.5W
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...120NE 140SE 40SW 70NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.1N 62.8W
    MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...120NE 140SE 50SW 70NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.4N 62.5W
    MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...120NE 150SE 50SW 80NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.6N 61.2W
    MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...120NE 130SE 70SW 80NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 33.1N 56.9W
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
    34 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW 60NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 54.7W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/0000Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

    $$
    FORECASTER BERG



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