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  • FORECAST: Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast/advisory Number 7

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Thu Oct 9 02:46:35 2025
    514
    WTNT25 KNHC 090246
    TCMAT5

    TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
    0300 UTC THU OCT 09 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 56.1W AT 09/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
    50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT.......140NE 160SE 0SW 70NW.
    4 M SEAS....270NE 210SE 60SW 90NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 56.1W AT 09/0300Z
    AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 55.4W

    FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.4N 58.3W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 15NW.
    34 KT...130NE 130SE 20SW 80NW.

    FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.0N 60.6W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 75NE 55SE 0SW 20NW.
    34 KT...120NE 130SE 30SW 60NW.

    FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.1N 62.2W
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 55SE 10SW 20NW.
    34 KT...120NE 140SE 30SW 60NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.5N 62.8W
    MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
    64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 55SE 20SW 25NW.
    34 KT...120NE 130SE 40SW 60NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.0N 62.8W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 65SE 20SW 25NW.
    34 KT...120NE 140SE 50SW 60NW.

    FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.4N 62.3W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
    50 KT... 60NE 65SE 20SW 25NW.
    34 KT...120NE 140SE 50SW 70NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 31.2N 60.5W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    50 KT... 45NE 50SE 20SW 25NW.
    34 KT...100NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 32.3N 56.0W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    50 KT... 55NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
    34 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW 80NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 56.1W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/0600Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

    $$
    FORECASTER PAPIN



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