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  • FORECAST: Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast/advisory Number 8

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Thu Oct 9 08:43:43 2025
    986
    WTNT25 KNHC 090843
    TCMAT5

    TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
    0900 UTC THU OCT 09 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 57.7W AT 09/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
    50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT.......130NE 150SE 0SW 70NW.
    4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 30SW 90NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 57.7W AT 09/0900Z
    AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 57.1W

    FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.0N 59.7W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...130NE 140SE 20SW 70NW.

    FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.8N 61.7W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
    34 KT...120NE 130SE 30SW 60NW.

    FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.2N 62.8W
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 50SE 10SW 20NW.
    34 KT...130NE 130SE 30SW 60NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.8N 63.1W
    MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
    64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...130NE 140SE 40SW 60NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.2N 62.8W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
    50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...130NE 140SE 60SW 70NW.

    FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N 62.2W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
    50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...130NE 140SE 60SW 80NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.7N 60.1W
    MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
    34 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 80NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.8N 54.7W
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
    34 KT...100NE 120SE 90SW 80NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 57.7W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/1200Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

    $$
    FORECASTER REINHART



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