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  • FORECAST: Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast/advisory Number 10

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Thu Oct 9 20:34:26 2025
    336
    WTNT25 KNHC 092034
    TCMAT5

    TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
    2100 UTC THU OCT 09 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 60.6W AT 09/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
    50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 70NW.
    4 M SEAS....275NE 180SE 60SW 120NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 60.6W AT 09/2100Z
    AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 60.1W

    FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.6N 62.0W
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...140NE 140SE 30SW 80NW.

    FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.0N 63.1W
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 20NW.
    34 KT...120NE 140SE 40SW 60NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.7N 63.4W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 20NW.
    34 KT...110NE 140SE 50SW 50NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N 63.2W
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...100NE 130SE 50SW 50NW.

    FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N 62.9W
    MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
    64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...100NE 130SE 60SW 60NW.

    FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.7N 61.3W
    MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
    64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...100NE 130SE 60SW 60NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 32.3N 57.9W
    MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 32.2N 51.0W
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
    34 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 60.6W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 10/0000Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

    $$
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



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