518
WTNT21 KNHC 100250
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112025
0300 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.5N 33.0W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.5N 33.0W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.4N 33.4W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 45.6N 31.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 47.8N 29.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 50.6N 28.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.5N 33.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN



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