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  • FORECAST: Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast/advisory Number 12

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Fri Oct 10 08:51:38 2025
    021
    WTNT25 KNHC 100851
    TCMAT5

    TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
    0900 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 62.5W AT 10/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
    34 KT.......140NE 160SE 0SW 50NW.
    4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 60SW 150NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 62.5W AT 10/0900Z
    AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 62.2W

    FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.9N 63.3W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...140NE 150SE 20SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.3N 63.4W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...120NE 140SE 30SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.9N 63.0W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...110NE 120SE 40SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N 62.5W
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 10NW.
    34 KT...110NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.

    FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.5N 61.8W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
    34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 50NW.

    FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.6N 60.3W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
    34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.6N 56.7W
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
    34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 31.5N 51.4W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
    34 KT... 80NE 110SE 90SW 80NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 62.5W

    INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 10/1200Z

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

    $$
    FORECASTER REINHART



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