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  • FORECAST: Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast/advisory Number 13

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Fri Oct 10 14:41:42 2025
    668
    WTNT25 KNHC 101441
    TCMAT5

    TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
    1500 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 63.4W AT 10/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
    34 KT.......140NE 160SE 0SW 0NW.
    4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 60SW 150NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 63.4W AT 10/1500Z
    AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 63.3W

    FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.1N 63.8W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...130NE 150SE 0SW 20NW.

    FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N 63.7W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...110NE 140SE 30SW 30NW.

    FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.9N 63.2W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.2N 62.7W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...100NE 110SE 40SW 50NW.

    FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.8N 61.7W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 50NW.

    FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.4N 59.7W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
    34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 30.4N 54.6W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
    34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 30.8N 47.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 63.4W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

    $$
    FORECASTER BERG



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