517
WTNT25 KNHC 102034
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
2100 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 63.6W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 63.6W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 63.5W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.4N 63.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.9N 63.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.3N 62.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.3N 62.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.4N 60.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.4N 58.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 30.1N 52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 63.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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