1. Forum
  2. Fidonet
  3. WEATHER.TROPIC

  • FORECAST: Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast/advisory Number 15

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Sat Oct 11 02:40:10 2025
    707
    WTNT25 KNHC 110239
    TCMAT5

    TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
    0300 UTC SAT OCT 11 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 63.9W AT 11/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 13 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
    50 KT....... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT.......150NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.
    4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 90SW 150NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 63.9W AT 11/0300Z
    AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 63.7W

    FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.6N 63.3W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...140NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.4N 62.7W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.6N 62.0W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.3N 60.8W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.0N 58.9W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.4N 56.4W...POST-TROPICAL
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 29.8N 51.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
    34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 63.9W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

    $$
    FORECASTER HAGEN



    = = = = = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at [email protected] and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)