103
WTNT25 KNHC 110856
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
0900 UTC SAT OCT 11 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 63.4W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 63.4W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 63.7W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.4N 63.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.0N 62.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 31.1N 61.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 20SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 33.0N 60.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 33.2N 58.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.5N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 50SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 63.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART



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