1. Forum
  2. Fidonet
  3. WEATHER.TROPIC

  • FORECAST: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Forecast/advisory Number 1

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Mon Oct 13 08:50:14 2025
    053
    WTNT22 KNHC 130849
    TCMAT2

    TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122025
    0900 UTC MON OCT 13 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 40.3W AT 13/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
    34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
    4 M SEAS.... 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 40.3W AT 13/0900Z
    AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 39.6W

    FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.0N 41.7W
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N 43.4W
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.0N 44.4W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.

    FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.1N 44.7W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.4N 44.2W
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.1N 42.6W
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
    34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 30.9N 36.9W
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
    34 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 33.2N 29.6W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 40.3W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

    $$
    FORECASTER PAPIN



    = = = = = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at [email protected] and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)